This is a summary of the book titled “Superconvergence” written by Jamie Metzl and published by Hachette Book Group USA in 2024. The author is a biotech expert who explores the future with advances in biotechnology, genetics, and AI. He covers the gamut of healthcare, industries and private life and the hopes and threats that people can expect. He reminds us that the good of the people and the planet depends on how we embrace our responsibilities. The advances give us unprecedented power and we will use them to reshape more sophisticated and personalized experiences for ourselves. Biotechnology will be indispensable for feeding the world. Even industrial farming will change. A global circular economy is emerging where we source our materials from plants and then recycle or reuse them. Among the threats, we can count DIY biohacking, antibiotic resistant superbugs.
Advances in AI, genetics, and biotechnology are giving humanity "godlike" powers, transforming the relationship between humans and the biological world. Scientists have made progress in synthesizing life, with researchers collaborating across universities to synthesize 16 chromosomes found in baker's yeast and inserting these genes into living cells. They are also working on creating new amino acid sequences and implanting them into cells to produce new proteins. AI will reshape health care, providing more sophisticated, personalized prevention and treatment. In the future, healthcare practitioners, individuals, and AI systems will work together to improve health outcomes. AI tools will enable healthcare providers to offer individualized care based on patient's electronic health record and other health and biological data. AI systems could also suggest individualized medical treatments and health interventions, such as personalized medications and cancer vaccines. Expanding health care with AI could have significant positive effects on health and longevity, but it must be mitigated to avoid negative outcomes like privacy violations and false positives.
Biotechnology is set to become indispensable for feeding the world, as it has been used to genetically modify agricultural plants since ancient times. As the global population continues to grow, it is crucial to consider sustainable agriculture methods that use less land and less land. Researchers predict that consumption of domesticated crops will rise 50% by 2050, requiring the conversion of vast stretches of wild areas into farmland, water use, and climate change impacts. Bioengineered crops, such as synthetic microbial soil communities, could help feed future humans while reducing dependence on chemical fertilizers. Industrial farming will need to be transformed to meet the growing demand for meat, as the consumption of land-based animals will rise from 340 billion kilograms to 460 to 570 billion tons by 2050. Alternative solutions include genetically engineered cows, salmon, pigs, and animals that can tolerate extreme temperatures. Lab-grown meat, created by scientist Mark Post, may not seem strange in the future, and companies are exploring innovative ways to grow cultivated meat scalably.
The future of sustainable grocery stores will likely see an increase in plant-based meat alternatives, reducing climate footprints and providing affordable nutrition. A global circular bioeconomy is emerging, where manufacturers source materials from plants and recycle or reuse them. This shift away from extractive capitalism towards a circular bioeconomy involves bioengineered plant materials, replacing fossil fuels and valuing waste products as raw materials. Investing in biotechnology can boost the global economy and help nations transition from fossil fuels to sustainable biofuels. Researchers are currently bioengineering biofuels through genetic engineering of plants, such as CelA, which facilitates the breakdown of plants into simple sugars. The UK government, China, India, and many African countries are developing strategies for the bioeconomy. However, mitigating potential risks and navigating challenges of embracing a new economic model is crucial.
The rapid development of biotech, genetics, and AI has the potential to make the world worse if not carefully managed. The rise of "do-it-yourself" biology and AI modeling tools has led to individuals sharing knowledge and tools, creating "biohacker spaces." Society must prepare for potential harms and mistakes, and a global effort is needed to minimize potential harms. The interconnectedness of all people and the health of our planet must be acknowledged. The OneShared.World movement, which promotes the democratic expression of common humanity, is a step in the right direction. Uniting humanity in the coming years is crucial.