Monday, August 18, 2014

Today we will continue to discuss random walks. We discussed single dimension and two dimension random walks so far.We saw that the two dimensional random walk can be expressed in terms of random walks in single dimensions that are independent. We proved this by enumerating the probabilities of the transitions and by considering them relative to origin. We now look at another lemma that states the probability for the two dimensional random walk to return to zero after 2n times is equal to twice that of the simple symmetric random walk (ssrw) to return to zero after 2n times. This intuitively follows from the first argument we made where we described the two dimensional random walk to be expressed in terms of the two independent ssrw. Further more, both the ssrw have the same probabilities for the final state we are interested in. It follows that the probability for the two dimensional ssrw is twice that of the same for a ssrw which in this case is the count of number of paths from (0,0) to (2n,0) to the overall paths and works out to be 2n Choose n times 2 ^ -2n. The probability for the final state for the two dimensional random walk is double that.
We next look at recurrence
Remember that Markov chain has finitely many states and at least one state must be visited infinitely many times. Perhaps some states will be visited again and again infinitely. Such a state is called recurrent. If the chain returns to a state i infinitely many times starting from i, we say that the Pi(Xn = i for infinitely many n) = 1
In the two dimensional symmetric random walk, from the previous lemma we can say that the recurrence probability holds true for both sides as it tends to 1 for infinitely many series and given the probability we worked out and substituting for different n and approximating with Stirling's approximation to c/n for some constant c, we see that the recurrence holds true for two dimensional random walk.

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